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◆ Safety2025-11-27· Intersection (aeronautics)

Examining the Effects of Sight Distance, Road Conditions, and Weather on Intersection Crash Severity: A Random Parameters Logit Approach with Heterogeneity in Means and Variances

Irfan Ullah, Ahmed Farid, Khaled Ksaibati

原始摘要(英文原文)· Original abstract
Intersections represent critical crash locations on road networks necessitating targeted safety interventions. This study employs a random parameters ordered logit (RPOL) model with heterogeneity in means to analyze injury severity contributing factors across 9108 Wyoming intersection crashes that occurred from 2007 to 2017. The analysis reveals that crashes on principal and minor arterial intersections are consistently associated with higher risks of severe/fatal injuries, while urban intersections exhibit less severe consequences, likely due to lower speeds and enhanced infrastructure. Adverse weather conditions, particularly snowy and icy road surfaces, increase the likelihood of property-damage-only (PDO) outcomes while reducing severe/fatal injuries. Temporal trends show a decline in crash severity over time, coinciding with advances in vehicle safety and policy improvements. Key behavioral factors, including left turn maneuvers and driver’s age heterogeneity, influence crash outcomes, whereas intersection sight distance (ISD) had no significant effect on crash severity underscoring data limitations requiring advanced analysis methods. This study’s findings prioritize the reconsideration of arterial intersection design, urban safety enhancements, and behavior-focused countermeasures for intersection safety.
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Examining the Effects of Sight Distance, Road Conditions, and Weather on Intersection Crash Severity: A Random Parameters Logit Approach with Heterogeneity in Means and Variances — 科研速览 Science Skim