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◆ Future Transportation2025-10-16· Crash

Modeling the Severity of Crashes in Rainy Weather by Driver Gender and Crash Type

Seyed Saber Naseralavi, Mohammad Soltanirad, Erfan Ranjbar, Martin Lucero, Mahdi Baghersad, Mehran Piri, Mohammad Javad Hassan Zada, Akram Mazaheri

原始摘要(英文原文)· Original abstract
Rainy weather conditions can have significant impact on the severity and frequency of traffic crashes. This study investigated factors that influence the severity of vehicle crashes during rainy weather in California. Data from 23,242 rain-related crashes in California were taken from the Highway Safety Information System (HSIS) database. The data was divided into 12 groups based on driver gender (male and female) and crash type (six categories: rear-end, hit object, sideswipe, overturned, head-on, and broadside). Each group was assigned a logistic regression model for crash severity (Property Damage Only (PDO) vs. injuries or fatalities (NotPDO)) yielding 12 models for various combinations of driver gender and crash types. Results indicate that factors such as the number of vehicles involved, vehicle manufacturing year, annual average daily traffic (AADT), road topography, season of crash, number of lanes, and driver age group all significantly influenced crash severity across various scenarios. These findings provide detailed insights into how various factors contribute to crash severity in different scenarios, allowing policymakers to develop targeted interventions. Policymakers can utilize the findings of this study to implement targeted measures in areas with high frequencies of specific crash types, particularly during adverse environmental conditions.
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