Stefanos Keskinis, Costas Elmasides, Ioannis Kosmadakis, Iakovos Raptis, Antonis G. Tsikalakis
This paper compares two common dispatch policies—Load-Following (LF) and Cycle-Charging (CC)—for a photovoltaic Battery Energy Storage System (PV–BESS) microgrid (MG) with a 12 kW diesel generator, using a full-year of real 15 min PV and load data from an industrial use case in Germany. A forward time-step simulation enforces the battery State-of-Energy (SoE) window (total basis [20, 100] %, DoD = 80%) and computes curtailment, generator use, and unmet energy. Feasible designs satisfy a Loss of Power Supply Probability (LPSP) ≤ 0.03. Economic evaluation follows an Equivalent Annual Cost (EUAC) model with PV and BESS Capital Expenditure/Operation and Maintenance (CAPEX/O&M) (cycle life dependent on DoD and 15-year calendar life), generator costs, and fuel via SFC and diesel price. A value of lost load (VOLL) can be applied to unserved energy, with an optional curtailment penalty. Across the design space, a clear cost valley appears toward moderate storage and modest PV, with the baseline optimum at ≈56 kWp PV and 200 kWh BESS (DoD = 80%). Both policies meet the reliability target (in our runs LPSP ≈ 0), and their SoE trajectories are nearly identical; CC only lifts the SoE slightly after generator-ON events by using headroom to charge, while LF supplies just the residual deficit. Sensitivity analyses show that the optimum is most affected by diesel price and discount rate, with smaller shifts for ±10% changes in SFC. The study provides a transparent, reproducible workflow—grounded in real data—for controller selection and capacity planning.