J. G. C. Ball, S. Jaffer, A. Laybros, C. Prieur, T. D. Jackson, A. Madhavapeddy, N. Barbier, G. Vincent, D. Coomes
Species-level canopy maps underpin tropical forest biodiversity monitoring, conservation planning, and carbon accounting, yet high species richness and structural complexity make remote classification challenging. Here we evaluate how far a two-step mapping approach can be taken, and where it breaks down, in hyperdiverse moist forest at the Paracou Field Station, French Guiana. First, we delineate individual tree crowns from ten repeat uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV) RGB surveys with Mask R-CNN, fusing predictions across dates by temporal consensus: mean segmentation F1 rose from 0.68 (single date) to 0.78 (ten dates), covering approximately 86% of test-region canopy area. Second, we classify each crown from a single airborne hyperspectral acquisition (416-2500 nm, 1 m) using machine learning classifiers trained and tested on 3,186 field-verified crowns spanning 169 species. Linear Discriminant Analysis performed best (weighted F1 = 0.75), outperforming more flexible models, but unevenly: across repeated cross-validation (20 x 5-fold), on average 50 species (95% CI: 41-63) attained F1 >= 0.7 in a given fold and only 15 did so reliably, with many rare species unclassifiable (macro-average F1 = 0.48). Combining both steps, we estimate approximately 70% of the landscape's canopy area was correctly mapped to species. Band-importance and ablation analyses identified the far-red edge (748-775 nm) as the most informative spectral region. These results advance on studies limited to 20 or fewer species and set out spectral-resolution and training-data requirements for airborne and forthcoming spaceborne imaging spectrometers, while showing that accuracy remains strongly conditioned by training-data availability and the single-site, single-acquisition design.