Zhongqi Fan, Tianyou Zhang, Fei Chen
Selective classification enables a model to abstain from predictions on uncertain instances, but existing approaches typically reject them through confidence scores, predefined coverage constraints or instance-level distance measures. These approaches may overlook the collective geometric structure of difficult samples in learned representation spaces. We propose Guided Clustering-based Uncertain Learning (GCUL), a geometric-guided selective classification framework that identifies misclassified and ambiguous instances as a potential confusion attractor in the representation space. GCUL uses a three-phase procedure to initialize, cluster, and explicitly relabel this uncertain region, allowing the rejection boundary to emerge from the underlying representation geometry rather than from a prescribed rejection rate. We further derive a selectivity score and a geometric sufficient condition that characterizes when rejection can provide positive operational utility, enabling pre-deployment feasibility assessment. GCUL improves DistilBERT accuracy from 89.37 percent to 94.98 percent with less than 9 percent rejection. Beyond accuracy, our selectivity score correctly pre-detects the only dataset (GoEmotion) where all baselines fail, and controlled simulations yield 6.1 percent Type-I and 0 percent Type-II errors, validating the sufficient condition's conservatism. These results suggest that collective representation geometry provides a useful alternative perspective for selective prediction.