PASTRI: Resolving Stage-Specific Cell-State Dynamics from Annotated Cell Lineage Trees

Cellular transitions between phenotypic states are fundamental to development and disease, yet quantitative analysis of their dynamics remains challenging. Here we present PASTRI (Phylogenetic Adjacency-based State Transition Rate Inference), a computational framework that infers transition rates from cell lineages/phylogenies annotated with terminal phenotypic states, such as single-cell transcriptomes. We validate PASTRI using simulated lineages and the Caenorhabditis elegans embryonic lineage. Importantly, by leveraging cell pairs at varying phylogenetic distances, PASTRI accurately resolves stage-specific transition rates, circumventing the issue of developmental changes in dynamics. Applied to three cell phylogeny datasets from our lineage-tracing experiments spanning diverse developmental/disease models and tracing systems, PASTRI uncovers rate-limiting steps in the activation of hepatic stellate cells and the differentiation of primordial lung progenitors, as well as attractor states that support cancer cell proliferation. PASTRI thus opens up a venue for dissecting cell state transition dynamics from annotated cell lineage/phylogeny.