Spatiotemporal Dynamics of West Nile Virus and Eastern Equine Encephalitis Virus in Georgia Highlight Divergent Ecological Niches for Persistent Transmission Over Two Decades (2001-2025)

Abstract West Nile virus (WNV; Flaviviridae) and Eastern Equine Encephalitis virus (EEEV; Togaviridae) represent the two most significant mosquito-borne zoonoses in the southeastern United States. While both viruses utilize avian amplifying hosts and mosquito vectors, it is unclear if they occur within distinct ecological niches. This study assessed the cumulative effects of both landscape composition and weather variables on the spatial-temporal distribution of WNV and EEEV outbreaks in Georgia over a twenty-four-year period (2001-2025). We used a modeling framework that directly accounts for both spatial and temporal effects but additionally integrates key EO variables (Earth observation). These environmental effects were investigated using Bernoulli generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMMs) and executed with an integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA). Our findings revealed disproportional distribution ranges of Culex quinquefasciatus, Aedes albopictus and Culiseta melanura in highly urbanized Georgian counties such as Chatham, Dekalb, and Fulton. Results showed that WNV transmission was heavily influenced by urban land cover (Posterior Mean: +0.78, 95% CrI: [0.61,0.95]) but negatively associated with lagged precipitation (Posterior Mean: −0.18, 95% CrI: [−0.29, −0.07]), confirming drought-driven amplification. Conversely, EEEV transmission was strongly influenced by wetland cover (Posterior Mean: +1.12, 95% CrI: [0.94,1.30]) and precipitation (Posterior Mean: +0.51, 95% CrI: [0.39,0.63]). These results underscore the need for improved mosquito surveillance across all Georgian counties in the face of growing vector-borne disease risks.