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◇ bioRxiv2026-09-06· immunology

Immune Aging is an Independent Risk Factor for Cardiovascular Disease

E. Feldman, E. J. Santana, B. Celestin, N. Golden, S. Bagherzadeh, S. Maysel, K. Mathi, S. Short, M. Caroll, S. S. Sullivan, M. Lukacisin, X. Ji, Y. Klein, O. Caspi, P. Nguyen, W. F. Fearon, B. Kim, S. Shah, K. W. Mahaffey, H. T. Maecker, M. M. Davis, N. Milman, T. J. Few-Cooper, F. Haddad, S. S. Shen-Orr

原始摘要(英文原文)· Original abstract
Cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of mortality, yet current clinical predictors miss substantial disease-risk. While the immune system contributes to this residual risk, its complexity has hindered broadly applicable, clinically scalable metrics of immune-state. Here, we establish the prognostic relevance of IMM-AGE, a system-level metric of immune-aging, to cardiovascular disease. We learn reference-free, low-dimensional representations of IMM-AGE across cell, protein, and mRNA measurements, enabling high-fidelity quantification across modalities, blood fractions, and platforms, including standard hospital flow cytometers. Among UK-Biobank participants, 56.9% of IMM-AGE variation remained unexplained by routine clinical measures, and across diverse cohorts totaling ~48,000 individuals, elevated IMM-AGE was independently associated with future cardiovascular risk, intervention outcomes, and mortality. Moreover, incorporation of IMM-AGE into the PREVENT 10-year risk equation significantly improved risk stratification. These findings establish immune-aging as an independent biological dimension of cardiovascular disease-risk and support IMM-AGE as a practical tool for precision risk assessment.
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