Dandy Aditya Novresiandi, Khalifah Insan Nur Rahmi, Hilda Ayu Pratikasiwi, Rendi Handika, Masnita Indriani Oktavia, Anisa Rarasati, Parwati Sofan, Rahmat Arief, Muhammad Rokhis Khomarudin, Shinichi Sobue, Kei Oyoshi, Go Segami, Pegah Hashemvand Khiabani
Water-level monitoring in rice paddies supports sustainable farming, responsible water management, and greenhouse gas emission mitigation. SAR-based remote sensing is an effective alternative for estimating water levels, especially in regions where optical observations are limited. This study evaluates ten ALOS-2/PALSAR-2 L-band SAR-derived polarimetric parameters for their contribution and effectiveness in water-level estimation across rice-growing phases using random forest regression in the Subang District, which is one of the largest rice-yield areas in West Java, Indonesia. Overall, L-band polarimetric information is clearly related to water-level dynamics throughout the rice-growing cycle, confirming its strong potential for quantitative water-level retrieval. The highest estimation accuracy was achieved by integrating all polarimetric parameter groups (MAE = 1.37 cm, RMSE = 1.79 cm, R2 = 0.52, r = 0.73), indicating that no single group can adequately represent the complex scattering mechanisms governing water-level variability across an entire cropping season. Variable importance analysis shows a relatively uniform contribution (7.63–12.90%), suggesting synergies across parameters in water-level estimation. Phase-specific evaluation further reveals that Phase 2, corresponding to the vegetative-to-generative transition, is the optimal temporal window for L-band SAR-based water-level retrieval due to enhanced double-bounce scattering and reduced signal saturation. While Phase 2 data maximizes physical sensitivity and correlation, whole-phase modeling provides greater robustness and lower absolute errors, making it more suitable for L-band SAR-based operational water-level monitoring applications.