Urban Resilience and Spatial Inequality in China: Toward Sustainable Development Under Multi-Dimensional Constraints

Comprehending the spatial–temporal transformation of urban resilience (UR) is fundamental for promoting sustainable urban growth in the Chinese context. In this study, a multi-dimensional index framework is developed to cover economic, social, ecological, and infrastructural aspects of resilience, assessing urban resilience across 282 prefecture-level cities between 2005 and 2022. By integrating the Time-Varying Entropy Method (TEM) with the Two-Stage Nested Theil Index (TNTI), we quantify the intensity and origins of spatial disparities in UR. Furthermore, spatial econometric models are employed to examine β convergence across regional and temporal dimensions. Additionally, the research adopts an Optimal Parameter-based Geographical Detector (OPGD) approach to explore and quantify the major determinants affecting urban resilience. The results reveal that (1) UR has significantly improved nationwide, with higher levels concentrated in eastern and southern China; (2) intra-provincial disparities are the dominant source of spatial differences, and continue to expand; (3) UR shows robust β-convergence nationally and regionally, although σ-convergence is limited to specific periods; (4) savings deposits per capita, ratio of employees, per capita fiscal expenditure and market size are identified as the core factors driving UR. The findings offer new insights into urban spatial governance under multi-dimensional constraints and challenges and serve as empirical guidance for narrowing resilience gaps and promoting balanced regional development.