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◆ Future Transportation2026-07-31· Situational ethics

Identifying and Structuring Discretionary Lane-Changing Stimuli Using a Mixed-Methods Approach

Saeed Reza Ramezanpour Nargesi, Saeed Reza Ramezanpour Nargesi, Somayeh Ramezanpour Nargesi, Somayeh Ramezanpour Nargesi, Stephen Mattingly, Vivian Miller, Sina Shokoohyar

原始摘要(英文原文)· Original abstract
This paper identifies and categorizes factors influencing discretionary lane-changing behavior. A mixed-methods approach combining qualitative and quantitative analysis is employed to structure lane-changing stimuli into clusters and determine their relative importance. Three focus groups of drivers with experience in the United States generated forty discretionary lane-changing reasons. These stimuli were subsequently evaluated through a stated-preference survey of 220 respondents. Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA) revealed three latent categories: Hazard & Evasive, Situational & Environmental, and Operational & Efficiency factors. Quantitative assessment indicated that safety-critical stimuli, such as encountering a stopped emergency vehicle or road debris, were the highest-ranked individual factors triggering a lane change. Furthermore, preliminary cluster comparisons suggest that the “Hazard & Evasive” cluster is the most influential group of motives. This study offers a foundational step toward developing a “lane-changing propensity” scale. Rather than providing ready-to-integrate mathematical parameters, it contributes a foundational behavioral basis for future model development and validation, highlighting non-traditional driver motivations that future microscopic simulations may eventually explore.
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