Optimal Design of an Off-Grid Wind–Solar Hydrogen Storage for Green Methanol Synthesis System Considering Multi-Factor Coordination

As the energy and power sector transitions toward clean and low-carbon development, the installed capacity of renewable energy sources such as wind and photovoltaic power has been rapidly increasing. Wind–solar hydrogen production via water electrolysis can enhance renewable energy utilization and enable the supply of green hydrogen. Meanwhile, the H2/CO2 molar ratio in the syngas produced by conventional biomass gasification generally cannot directly meet the 2:1 stoichiometric requirement for methanol synthesis. To address this issue, this paper proposes an off-grid coordinated system integrating wind–solar hydrogen production and biomass gasification for methanol synthesis. The system incorporates multi-operating-condition constraints of electrolyzers, coordinated regulation between electrochemical energy storage and hydrogen storage, and coordinated matching between biomass gasification and the water–gas shift reaction. Based on the system energy and material balance, a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model is formulated with the objective of minimizing the annualized total cost and is solved using the Gurobi solver in the MATLAB environment. To highlight the roles of HES and the WGS reaction, four comparative scenarios are designed for validation. The results show that the system with an annual methanol production capacity of 100,000 tons achieves an annualized total cost of 318 million CNY, with a wind–solar utilization rate of 98.86%. The system is configured with 12 electrolyzers of 5 MW each. The biomass consumption per ton of methanol is 3.06, and the CO2 emissions per ton of methanol are 2.37. Finally, a sensitivity analysis of the levelized methanol cost (LCOM) was conducted, providing guidance for cost reduction in green methanol production.