Synthetic Data Augmentation for Imbalanced Tabular Data: A Comparative Study of Generation Methods

Class imbalance in tabular datasets poses a challenge for machine learning classification tasks, often leading to biased models that underperform in predicting minority class instances. This study presents a comparative analysis of synthetic data generation methods for addressing class imbalance in tabular data. We evaluate four augmentation approaches—Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE), Gaussian Copula, Tabular Variational Autoencoder (TVAE), and Conditional Tabular Generative Adversarial Network (CTGAN)—using the University of California Irvine (UCI) Bank Marketing dataset, which exhibits a class imbalance ratio of approximately 7.88:1. Our experimental framework assesses each method across three dimensions: statistical fidelity to the original data distribution evaluated through four complementary metrics (marginal numerical similarity, categorical distribution similarity, correlation structure preservation, and Kolmogorov–Smirnov test), machine learning utility measured through classification performance, and minority class detection capability. Results indicate that all augmentation methods achieved statistically significant improvements over the baseline (p<0.05). SMOTE achieved the highest recall (54.2%, a 117.6% relative improvement over the baseline) and F1-Score (0.437, +22.4% over the baseline) for minority class detection, while Gaussian Copula provided the highest composite fidelity score (0.930) with competitive predictive performance. A weak negative correlation (ρ=−0.30) between composite fidelity and classification performance was observed, suggesting that higher statistical fidelity does not necessarily translate to better downstream task performance. Deep learning-based methods (TVAE, CTGAN) showed statistically significant improvements over the baseline (recall: +58% to +63%) but underperformed compared to simpler methods under default configurations, suggesting the need for larger training samples or more extensive hyperparameter tuning. These findings offer reference points for practitioners working with moderately imbalanced tabular data with limited minority class samples, supporting the selection of generation strategies based on specific requirements regarding data fidelity and classification objectives.