Guolong Gao, Han Zhang, Yuyang Duan, Shanshan Fan, Zou Xue, Xuliang Sun, Hongmei Ge, Changxing Zhao
To identify adaptive cultivation strategies for strong-gluten winter wheat under conditions of increasing autumn temperatures and changing precipitation patterns in the Huang–Huai–Hai region, a field experiment was conducted with cultivars Jimai 44 and Zhongmai 578. Field experiments were conducted during the 2023–2024 and 2024–2025 growing seasons, using three sowing dates (T2–T4, 20 October to 3 November) in the first year and four sowing dates (T1–T4, 13 October to 3 November) in the second year, each combined with three seeding rates (M1–M3) that were increased by 52.5 kg ha−1 for every 7-day delay in sowing. This design evaluated how sowing date and seeding rate regulate photosynthesis, dry matter dynamics, and yield. The results showed that post-anthesis dry-matter accumulation, harvest index, grain number per unit area, and grain yield responded quadratically to delayed sowing and increased seeding rate. Delayed sowing increased flag-leaf SPAD but reduced dry matter at anthesis and maturity, pre-anthesis translocation, spike number, and thousand-kernel weight. Higher seeding rate decreased SPAD, net photosynthetic rate, grains per spike, and kernel weight. The T2M2 treatment optimized canopy structure, enhanced photosynthesis, maintained efficient dry matter production and partitioning, and balanced yield components, achieving the highest grain yield. Although severe delays in sowing reduced yield, increasing the seeding rate under late sowing compensated for the reduced spike number and mitigated yield losses. The T2M2 combination and the late-sowing with the incremental-seeding technique offer practical strategies for climate-resilient, high-yield wheat production in the region.