Haixu Zhu, Renhua Na, Xiaolong Yao, Jureti Azhati, Liming Chai, Canwen Sun, Bing Liu, Zeqiang Dai, Yan Xing
Baseline splenic and thyroid FDG metabolism, combined with systemic inflammation, were independently associated with irAEs in anti-PD-1-treated NSCLC, providing candidate pretreatment risk-stratification markers pending external validation.
OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT immune-organ metabolic features are associated with immune-related adverse events (irAEs) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients receiving anti-PD-1 therapy.
METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 120 stage III-IV NSCLC patients who underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT within 4 weeks before anti-PD-1 therapy and received ≥2 treatment cycles. The endpoint was any-grade irAE (CTCAE v5.0). Candidate predictors included tumor burden; spleen, bone-marrow, and thyroid metabolism; spleen-to-liver ratio (SLR); and bone-marrow-to-liver ratio. Standardized variables entered multivariable logistic regression with bootstrap optimism correction (1,000 resamples) and sensitivity analyses.
RESULTS: irAEs occurred in 66 patients (55.0%) after a median of 61.5 days; 18 (27.3%) had grade 3-4 events, mainly pneumonitis and hepatitis. Compared with non-irAE patients, irAE patients showed higher SLR, spleen SUVmax, bone-marrow indices, thyroid SUVmax, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR). In the final multivariable model, SLR (odds ratio [OR] 4.13 per 1-SD; 95% CI, 2.28-7.49; p < 0.001), thyroid SUVmax (OR 3.57; 95% CI, 1.96-6.49; p < 0.001), and NLR (OR 2.00; 95% CI, 1.24-3.24; p = 0.005) were independently associated with irAEs. Model AUC was 0.863 (optimism-corrected, 0.850), and persisted after excluding thyroiditis-first cases (AUC 0.874). Discrimination was lower when grade 3-4 events were used as the outcome (AUC 0.724), indicating that the model predicted any-grade irAEs more accurately than severe events.
CONCLUSION: Baseline splenic and thyroid FDG metabolism, combined with systemic inflammation, were independently associated with irAEs in anti-PD-1-treated NSCLC, providing candidate pretreatment risk-stratification markers pending external validation.