Are green bonds and green energy markets hedges for green cryptocurrencies? A quantile VAR approach

Abstract The increasing integration of green cryptocurrencies into financial markets raises critical questions about their effectiveness as diversification and hedging instruments. This study examines their role relative to traditional green assets, including the S&P Green Bond Index, S&P Global Clean Energy Index, and S&P ESG Leaders Index, via quantile vector autoregression (QVAR) over the period November 2017–July 2024. The results reveal a U-shaped connectedness pattern, where spillovers between green assets intensify under extreme market conditions, diminishing their diversification benefits. Green cryptocurrencies, particularly Cardano (ADA) and Stellar (XLM), function as primary transmitters of volatility, especially during extreme market conditions. Conversely, green assets, traditionally perceived as low risk, act as net receivers of volatility, failing to provide consistent downside protection and challenging their reliability in risk mitigation. Hedging analysis demonstrates limited risk mitigation from traditional green assets, with certain cryptocurrencies, such as NANO, providing superior hedging potential. These findings have important implications for investors and policymakers. Investors should reassess their reliance on traditional green assets for risk management and consider adaptive hedging strategies incorporating green cryptocurrencies. Regulators must address systemic risks associated with the growing influence of clean cryptocurrencies by implementing volatility thresholds and transparency measures. Future research should examine the regulatory impact and the evolving role of green financial instruments in sustainable portfolio management.