Michael Sabranski, Guido Schäfer, Stefan Fenske, Axel Adam, Stefan Hansen, Carl Knud Schewe, Thomas Buhk, Malena Hinrichs, Christian Hoffmann
Serological outcomes were associated primarily with baseline and host characteristics rather than the antibiotic regimen. Doxycycline may be an effective alternative to benzathine penicillin G for early syphilis, although the observational design does not establish equivalence.
PURPOSE: This study aimed to identify predictors of serological nonresponse, defined as a less than fourfold decline in VDRL titers at 12 months, and factors associated with higher minimum titers during months 13-24 after treatment, and to assess whether either outcome was associated with the antibiotic regimen.
METHODS: We conducted a retrospective longitudinal cohort study of individuals with early syphilis treated with benzathine penicillin G or doxycycline and followed for 24 months. Predictors of 12-month serological response were assessed using multivariable logistic regression. Factors associated with the lowest log2-transformed VDRL titer recorded during months 13-24 were evaluated using multivariable linear regression.
RESULTS: Among the 633 eligible cases, 106 (16.7%) did not achieve a fourfold decline within 12 months after treatment. In addition, 127 cases (20.1%) showed incomplete seroreversion, defined as a minimum VDRL titer of ≥ 1:2 during months 13-24. The antibiotic regimen was not associated with either outcome. Higher baseline VDRL titers were associated with greater odds of achieving a fourfold decline by 12 months, but also with higher minimum VDRL titers during months 13-24. In contrast, age > 65 years and PrEP use were associated with lower odds of achieving a fourfold decline. Several clinical and immunological characteristics were associated with the magnitude of late VDRL seroreactivity during the late follow-up period.
CONCLUSIONS: Serological outcomes were associated primarily with baseline and host characteristics rather than the antibiotic regimen. Doxycycline may be an effective alternative to benzathine penicillin G for early syphilis, although the observational design does not establish equivalence.