Zhe Li, Wan Chen, Chenglong Li, Guozheng Qiu, Lei Shi, Wenlong Duan, Shengxin Chen, Baoyao Zeng, Yao Zhou, Bo Wang, Xiaotong Hou, Liwen Lyu
Dynamic echocardiographic trajectories identify distinct phenotypes reflecting divergent cardiac responses to veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, ranging from recovery to progressive maladaptation. Longitudinal monitoring provides essential prognostic utility beyond static admission assessments.
BACKGROUND: Current risk stratification for veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation relies on static assessments, ignoring dynamic cardiac evolution. We aimed to identify longitudinal echocardiographic trajectory phenotypes and evaluate their association with in-hospital mortality.
METHODS: We analyzed 2034 adults receiving veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for cardiogenic shock from a multicenter registry. Latent class mixed models and probabilistic template-matching were applied to serial echocardiographic data (left ventricular ejection fraction, end-diastolic diameter, right ventricular parameters) to identify trajectory phenotypes. Associations with mortality were evaluated using multivariable Cox and Fine-Gray competing risk models.
RESULTS: Four dynamic phenotypes were identified: Dyn-A ("Refractory Stagnation," 17.0%), featuring persistent systolic suppression and progressive dilation; Dyn-B ("Isolated LV Recovery," 14.9%); Dyn-C ("Biventricular Failure," 6.1%); and Dyn-D ("Gradual Recovery," 61.9%). Static baseline phenotyping failed to stratify survival. Conversely, dynamic phenotypes were independently associated with mortality. The high-risk Dyn-A phenotype exhibited significantly higher mortality compared with the Dyn-B profile (adjusted hazard ratio 1.71, 95% CI 1.35-2.16), remaining significant after adjusting for baseline illness severity.
CONCLUSIONS: Dynamic echocardiographic trajectories identify distinct phenotypes reflecting divergent cardiac responses to veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, ranging from recovery to progressive maladaptation. Longitudinal monitoring provides essential prognostic utility beyond static admission assessments.