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◆ History and philosophy of the life sciences2026-09-08

Rethinking the trade-off hypothesis in evolutionary epidemiology.

Davide Coraci

原始摘要(英文原文)· Original abstract
The trade-off hypothesis plays a foundational role in the theoretical framework of modern evolutionary epidemiology, proposing that pathogen fitness is maximized at intermediate levels of virulence. Despite its influence on the study of host-pathogen interactions, the hypothesis has been criticized for its limited empirical support and the conceptual ambiguities surrounding the definition of virulence. This paper reassesses the scientific status of the trade-off hypothesis by interpreting the dependencies among epidemiological parameters as constitutive principles. Therefore, the results of the seminal 1982 work of Anderson and May are reinterpreted as a shift in the constitutive principles underpinning the paradigm of evolutionary epidemiology. This perspective provides a novel basis for evaluating the empirical support for the trade-off hypothesis and reassessing the debate regarding its validity.
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Rethinking the trade-off hypothesis in evolutionary epidemiology. — 科研速览 Science Skim