Qianning Liu, Ying Luo, Qingsong Shan, Daqing Zhu, Shifei Wen, Lilan Tu, Chengcheng Gong, Yan Yin, Leyao Zhang, Guihua Yang, Cuihua Fu, Huanxin Xu, Jiuyun Luo, Chengyun Yang, Shuhua Zhang, Jiehui Yuan, Jingwen Xiao, Shijie Zou, Shuqiang Ou, Xueping Tao, Yong Deng, Wei Zou
Documented clinical complexity at presentation may identify a subgroup in whom prolonged ART delay is less well tolerated. These hypothesis-generating findings warrant external validation.
OBJECTIVES: To assess whether the association between delayed antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation and all-cause mortality differs according to documented concurrent clinical conditions at presentation in adults with HIV.
METHODS: We conducted a multicentre retrospective cohort study of 1826 treatment-naive adults with HIV in Jiangxi Province, China (2004-2024), linking clinical and surveillance records. Time zero was defined as ART initiation. The exposure was a delay of >30 versus ≤30 days from diagnosis; the outcome was all-cause mortality. Presenting risk was defined a priori from conditions documented by ART initiation (documented condition, none documented or untested/unknown). We fitted subgroup-specific Cox models and a full-sample interaction model. Multiple imputation was a co-primary approach for missing baseline HIV-RNA.
RESULTS: Overall, 142 participants (7.8%) died. A delay of >30 days was not associated with mortality overall (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.05, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.83-1.33; p = 0.70). Among participants with documented concurrent conditions (n = 450), a delay of >30 days was associated with approximately two-fold higher mortality under multiple imputation (aHR 2.07, 95% CI 1.06-4.02; p = 0.033; 48-week cumulative mortality 12.1% vs. 6.2%); no association was seen without documented conditions (aHR 0.87, 95% CI 0.55-1.39). The interaction was borderline under multiple imputation (p = 0.064; fraction of missing information 0.04).
CONCLUSIONS: Documented clinical complexity at presentation may identify a subgroup in whom prolonged ART delay is less well tolerated. These hypothesis-generating findings warrant external validation.