Ensemble Workload Prediction With Fluctuation Division Control in the Computing Power Network

TheComputing Power Network(CPN) is a distributed system that integrates computing resources to optimize utilization, but ensuringQuality of Service(QoS) is challenging due to high demand and complex heterogeneous connections. Accurate workload prediction is essential for maintaining QoS, yet the diverse and complex user requirements in CPN make prediction difficult. To address this challenge, we propose an ensemble workload prediction model with fluctuation division control for workload prediction in CPN, comprising three key components. First, we use theThree-Way Decision(3WD) approach to partition workload fluctuations, controlling granularity thickness and applying clustering to capture dynamic workload characteristics. Second, we develop tailored prediction methods for each of the three partitioned regions and ensembles them to enhance overall prediction performance. Third, the ensemble prediction method is applied to each region to obtain the final predicted values. The proposed method introduces an innovative fluctuation division control strategy for characteristic mining to capture dynamic workload fluctuation patterns and designs the effective ensemble workload prediction model deal with the problem of non-stationary workload prediction in CPN. Experimental results on trace datasets from Alibaba and Dinda demonstrate that the proposed model improves the higher average prediction accuracy by up to 26.06%$\sim$66.4% than the comparison methods.