Claudio A Dávila-Cervantes, Marcela Agudelo-Botero
ADOD disproportionately affect women, while higher modeled burden was observed in several states with lower socioeconomic development and weaker health system performance. The post-2020 increase represents an epidemiological signal warranting further investigation into excess mortality among people with dementia, healthcare disruption, social isolation, and changes in long-term care during the COVID-19 period. Strengthening early diagnosis, long-term care, and management of modifiable risk factors is essential to reduce the future burden and persistent regional and sex-based inequalities in ageing populations.
OBJECTIVES: To quantify the magnitude and trends the national and subnational burden of Alzheimer's disease and other dementias (ADOD) in Mexico from 1990 to 2023, analyzing patterns by sex and age and exploring their association with the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) and the Healthcare Access and Quality Index (HAQI).
METHOD: A secondary ecological study was conducted using updated estimates from the Global Burden of Disease and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2023. Prevalence, incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were examined. Temporal trends were assessed using joinpoint regression. Pearson correlation and linear regression were used to evaluate associations between DALYs rates and SDI and HAQI.
RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2023, ADOD prevalence and incidence increased, despite significant declines in age-standardized prevalence and incidence rates. Females consistently experienced higher mortality and disability, with age-standardized DALYs rates 1.28 times those of males. The ADOD burden increased sharply with age, peaking among those aged 85 years and older, with premature mortality accounting for 63.0% of total DALYs. A significant increase in DALYs rates occurred during 2020-2023 after previous periods of gradual decline. DALYs rates were negatively correlated with both SDI and HAQI.
CONCLUSION: ADOD disproportionately affect women, while higher modeled burden was observed in several states with lower socioeconomic development and weaker health system performance. The post-2020 increase represents an epidemiological signal warranting further investigation into excess mortality among people with dementia, healthcare disruption, social isolation, and changes in long-term care during the COVID-19 period. Strengthening early diagnosis, long-term care, and management of modifiable risk factors is essential to reduce the future burden and persistent regional and sex-based inequalities in ageing populations.