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◆ German Politics2025-12-10· Persistence (discontinuity)

Why the Core of the AfD’s Support Will Not Shift to the BSW: Explaining the Persistence of Far-Right Support in Thuringia, 2024

Marion Reiser, Anne Küppers

原始摘要(英文原文)· Original abstract
In light of the Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht’s (BSW) rapid initial success, a debate about the party’s voter base emerged, raising the question as to whether the BSW has emerged as a new competitor to the AfD, potentially drawing support from it. Our article contributes to this debate by examining AfD and BSW voters in Thuringia, focussing in-depth on culturally conservative and far-right views as well as various on political grievances. Drawing on data from a representative survey, our study shows that AfD voters in Thuringia mirror the typical profile of radical right voters in other European countries. In contrast, the results for BSW voters contradict previous findings. Anti-immigrant attitudes, as well as other views from the broader spectrum of far-right ideology are not significantly associated with BSW support. Furthermore, political grievances are only to a very limited extent the driving factor for BSW support. Therefore, we conclude that BSW does not represent a new competitor for the AfD in Thuringia.
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Why the Core of the AfD’s Support Will Not Shift to the BSW: Explaining the Persistence of Far-Right Support in Thuringia, 2024 — 科研速览 Science Skim