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◆ Nature Energy2025-11-06· Greenhouse gas

Global greenhouse gas emissions mitigation potential of existing and planned hydrogen projects

Tom Terlouw, Christian Moretti, Carina Harpprecht, Romain Sacchi, Russell McKenna, Christian Bauer

原始摘要(英文原文)· Original abstract
Abstract Hydrogen will play a critical role in decarbonizing diverse economic sectors. However, given limited sustainable resources and the energy-intensive nature of its production, prioritizing its applications will be essential. Here, we analyse approximately 2,000 (low-carbon) hydrogen projects worldwide, encompassing operational and planned initiatives until 2043, quantifying their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and mitigation potential from a life cycle perspective. Our results demonstrate the variability in GHG emissions of hydrogen applications, depending on the geographical location and hydrogen source used. The most climate-effective hydrogen applications include steel-making, biofuels and ammonia, while hydrogen use for road transport, power generation and domestic heating should be discouraged as more favourable alternatives exist. Planned low-carbon hydrogen projects could generate 110 MtH 2 yr −1 , emit approximately 0.4 GtCO 2 e yr −1 , and potentially reduce net life cycle GHG emissions by 0.2–1.1 GtCO 2 e yr −1 by 2043, depending on the substituted product or service. Addressing the current hydrogen implementation gap and prioritizing climate-effective applications are crucial for meeting decarbonization goals.
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