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◆ Nature Communications2025-12-24· Per capita

Timely deployment of best-in-class technologies to enable development and decarbonise construction

Cyrille F. Dunant, Hisham Hafez, Alastair T. M. Marsh, Sabbie A. Miller, Martin Röck, Wolfram Schmidt, Karen Scrivener, Franco Zunino

原始摘要(英文原文)· Original abstract
Abstract In the face of two apparently irreconcilable global challenges - housing a growing world population and reducing CO 2 emissions - we analyse the current, historic and forecast data on the use of construction materials. Today, cement-based materials make up around three quarters of materials used by mass. Historically, we see that cement-based materials use goes through a peak as Gross Domestic Product per capita increases and then falls. This peak of cement use has been particularly pronounced in China, but is now on a downwards path. From now to 2050, three quarters of construction materials demand will be in low- and middle-income countries. We estimate that adopting the best available construction technologies could reduce CO 2 emissions by about 73% compared to business as usual by 2050. In low- and middle-income countries, the housing and infrastructure needed to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals could be supplied while simultaneously reducing their per capita CO 2 emissions from structural materials.
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