Muhammad Jaffar Khan, Arunabha Karmakar, Jazib Hassan, Neeraj Kuman, Kishore Kumar Gangineni, Ahmed Hassan Aly El Sotouhy, Kemal Tolga Saracoglu, Ayten Saracoglu
Longer anesthesia duration and lower preoperative hemoglobin were the most consistent associates of neurological deficit; surgical technique and disease severity were not. Both are potentially modifiable perioperative targets, but associations are hypothesis-generating and require prospective multicenter validation.
BACKGROUND: Moyamoya disease (MMD) presents distinctive perioperative challenges owing to impaired cerebrovascular autoregulation and exhausted vascular reserve. Perioperative predictors of neurological deficit remain undercharacterized.
METHODS: This single-center retrospective cohort study analyzed 24 consecutive MMD patients undergoing revascularization (2017-2022). A multidomain dataset encompassing Suzuki stage, surgical technique, intraoperative hemodynamics, perioperative laboratories, and anesthetic variables was analyzed using ROC analysis and exploratory penalized logistic regression with leave-one-out cross-validation.
RESULTS: Thirty-nine procedures were performed (23 Stage I, 16 Stage II; all primary MMD). Stage I comprised direct STA-MCA bypass (74%), combined (17%), and indirect techniques (8.6%); Suzuki stage III predominated (46%). Neurological deficits occurred in 14 of 23 patients (61%) after Stage I: 8 (57%) resolved before discharge, 4 (29%) persisted, and 2 (14%) were fatal; rates fell to 31% at Stage II. Neither surgical technique nor Suzuki stage predicted deficits (P = 1.000; P = 0.368). Anesthesia duration was the strongest discriminator (AUC 0.73; threshold >480 minutes), followed by preoperative hemoglobin (AUC 0.68; <14.3 g dl-1), though neither reached univariate significance. The two-variable model achieved leave-one-out AUC 0.64 (95% CI 0.39-0.86); adding disease-severity covariates reduced discrimination. EtCO2 variability correlated with functional outcome (P = 0.031) and deficits with ICU stay >2 days (P = 0.040).
CONCLUSIONS: Longer anesthesia duration and lower preoperative hemoglobin were the most consistent associates of neurological deficit; surgical technique and disease severity were not. Both are potentially modifiable perioperative targets, but associations are hypothesis-generating and require prospective multicenter validation.