Oanh T. Nguyen, Tich Van Vu, Nam C. Le, Brendan M. Buckley, Hung Nguyen, Tam Minh Pham
Tree-ring records of Fokienia hodginsii from the Tay Giang protected forest, Vietnam, provide valuable insights into long-term climate variability and historical drought patterns in the South-Central region of Vietnam. The tree-ring index indicated radial growth of trees is negatively correlated with the temperature of April, May, and June in the period of 1575-1978 CE. During these years, analysis of 10-year moving window showed cyclical warm periods lasting from 1 to 22 years and with amplitudes greater than 7-8%, occurring in several intervals of 1622-1627, 1723-1731, 1784-1796, 1817-1828, 1847-1874, 1903-1928, and 1955-1965 CE. This record provided significant evidence about the late 20 th -century warming at high latitude and altitude sites. Additionally, the reconstructed Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), developed using a simple linear regression model based on reconstructed mean annual temperature data, identified 39 drought events between 1581 and 2005 CE. It indicated the coincidence of four large-scale droughts recorded throughout Southeast Asia, including Victorian Drought I (1876-1818 CE), Victorian Drought II (1888-1889 CE), Strange Parallels Drought (1751-1757; 1760-1761 CE) and East Indian Drought (1778-1789 CE). Results of this study provide useful information for detecting climate anomalies in the past and enable the potential prediction for climate-related natural disasters.