Mengke Si, Yiwei Wang, Xiang Li, Junxue Qiu, Xiaoyu Chong, Baolei Yang, Mingfeng Chu, Yuchen Liang, Wei Cheng, Jingyan Zhang, Xuelong Chen, Yanping Qi
Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus is associated with substantial costs for the global pig industry. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of 71 cross-sectional surveys (307,863 pig specimens from 27 provinces, 2004-2025) to quantify long-term spatiotemporal trends and associated factors of sample-level PRRSV RT-PCR positivity in mainland China. The overall pooled PRRSV RT-PCR positivity was 32% (95% CI: 29-34%) with high between-study heterogeneity (I² = 99%, P < 0.001); this estimate summarizes diverse study populations and does not represent uniform national prevalence. Pooled prevalence declined from 36% (95% CI: 31-41%) in 2004-2015-26% (95% CI: 23-29%) in 2016-2025, potentially driven by shifts in study design and sampling populations. Higher prevalence was associated with South China, small-scale farms, finishing pigs and summer sampling. Funnel plot asymmetry and Egger's test indicated significant small-study effects, likely reflecting publication bias and study heterogeneity. These findings confirm widespread PRRSV detection in sampled pig populations, with a temporal decline and identifiable putative risk factors associated with heterogeneity. Results provide a reference to optimize future PRRSV surveillance and control.