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◆ One Earth2026-03-01· Environmental science

Israel-Gaza conflict carbon emissions exceeded 30 million tons

Benjamin Neimark, Frederick Otu-Larbi, Reuben Tete Larbi, Patrick Bigger, Linsey Cottrell, Lennard de Klerk, Mykola Shlapak

原始摘要(英文原文)· Original abstract
Comprehensive greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) inventories are vital for effective climate governance. However, a decade after the Paris Agreement, significant reporting gaps still exist. Emissions associated with military activities represent one such gap, with direct emissions from conflicts frequently unreported and pre- and post-conflict emissions consistently overlooked. Insufficient accounting prevents military emissions from being included in international climate agreements, undermining climate mitigation. We use open-source data in government, think tank, and civil society reports on combat operations and military installations to assess emissions from the Israel-Gaza conflict, including pre-conflict infrastructure, active conflict, and post-conflict reconstruction. We show that scope 1 and 2 emissions of open conflict exceeded 1.3 million tons CO2 equiv by January 2025. This value rises to 33.2 million tons CO2 equiv when including scope 3+ emissions of pre- and post-conflict activities like defensive fences and reconstruction, highlighting the need for more comprehensive reporting of military emissions and their significant climate costs.
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Israel-Gaza conflict carbon emissions exceeded 30 million tons — 科研速览 Science Skim