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◆ Journal of dynamic disasters.2026-03-01· Geology

29 July 2025 Kamchatka Mw 8.8 earthquake: A detailed examination

Umar Ahmad Noor, Khan Shahzada, Zhao-Dong Xu, Wajid Ali, Waqas Khan, Ye Shou Xu

原始摘要(英文原文)· Original abstract
Abstract This report presents a comprehensive, multidisciplinary analysis of the 29 July 2025 Kamchatka megathrust earthquake (mainshock origin time 2025-07-29 23:24:52 UTC), synthesizing seismic, geodetic, tsunami, remote-sensing and field-observation data to characterize the rupture, tsunami generation, and regional impacts. Using published USGS finite-fault models, regional ShakeMap products, tsunami gauge and run-up measurements, satellite imagery, and preliminary geodetic offsets, we show that the event released moment consistent with a moment magnitude of ∼Mw 8.8 (regional estimates Mw 8.6–8.8). The rupture propagated across an unusually large portion of the Kuril–Kamchatka subduction interface (length scales inferred from different models ≈390–600 km and widths ≈140–200 km), produced localized maximum slip on the order of tens of meters (peaking ∼30–40 m) with multiple patches exceeding 10 m, and the rupture lasted roughly 270 s (≈4.5 minutes). A Mw 7.4 foreshock on 20 July preceded intense aftershock activity (≥3,161 events reported in the weeks after the mainshock). The tsunami exhibited strong spatial heterogeneity: measured coastal run-ups reached locally ∼17–19 m in constrained bays of the Kurils and Kamchatka, while distant Pacific recordings (e.g., Hawaii, parts of South America, and Japan) showed amplitudes up to ∼1.7 m and widespread ocean-wide oscillations. Geodetic offsets of up to ∼2 m southeastward were recorded on the peninsula, and at least one naval floating pier at Rybachiy suffered localized damage visible in satellite imagery. Although reported human casualties were limited relative to event size, substantial infrastructure damage and extensive tsunami inundation at exposed ports underline the asymmetric risk posed by large interplate ruptures. We discuss implications for seismic-gap hypotheses along the Kuril–Kamchatka arc, cascading earthquake–volcano interactions observed after the mainshock, and priorities for rapid post-event reconnaissance, tsunami-hazard reassessment, and resilience measures for coastal and naval infrastructure.
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