Karim D. Mahmoud, Simran P. Sharma, Ricardo P.J. Budde, Admir Dedic, Kaneshka Masdjedi, Miguel E. Lemmert, Joost Daemen, Jonathan Leipsic, Rafael J. de Windt, Paul Cummins, Isabella Kardys, Maarten J.G. Leening, Alexander Hirsch, Nicolas M. Van Mieghem
BACKGROUND: Fractional flow reserve (FFR)-negative coronary lesions are usually managed medically. Lesion-specific plaque characterization and FFR changes over time remain elusive. AIMS: To assess disease progression in FFR-negative lesions over a two-year period using FFR derived from coronary CT angiography (CCTA) (FFRct) and to investigate whether FFR decline over a two-year period is associated with plaque characteristics. METHODS: This single-center prospective study included patients undergoing coronary angiography with one or more invasive intermediate lesions (FFR 0.81-0.90) in non-stented, non-culprit coronary arteries. Two years after the index procedure, patients underwent CCTA with FFRct and quantitative plaque analysis. RESULTS: We enrolled 131 patients (152 vessels). Two-year follow-up with FFRct and plaque analysis was available in 68 (52 %) patients (73 vessels). Compared to invasive FFR at baseline, FFRct at 2y follow-up was significantly lower (median difference -0.06) at vessel level analysis (p < 0.001). FFR declined in 55 (75 %) lesions. The 35 study vessels with an FFRct≤0.80 at 2-year follow-up had higher total percent atheroma volume (PAV) (41 % vs. 23 %; p = 0.002) and more high-risk plaque composition, including noncalcified PAV (30 % vs. 18 %; p = 0.002), and low-attenuation PAV (1.1 % vs. 0.7 %; p = 0.046) compared to vessels with an FFRct>0.80 (n = 38). Rates of study vessel revascularization in the 131 patients were 6.9 % at 2 years and 15.1 % after 4.9 years of follow-up after index procedure. CONCLUSIONS: Rates of coronary revascularization are substantial in patients with medically managed intermediate lesions. In this selected cohort, an FFRct ≤0.80 at two-year follow-up was associated with higher plaque burden and presence of high-risk plaque composition.