Flavio Donnini, Alessandro Bonzani, Pierpaolo Pastina, Giuseppe Battaglia, Armando Perrella, Giulio Bagnacci, Salvatore Chibbaro, Alfonso Cerase, Maria Antonietta Mazzei, Giuseppe Minniti, Paolo Tini
SVZ involvement attenuates the survival benefit conferred by MGMT methylation, supporting combined anatomical-molecular stratification. Given the cohort size and lack of PFS effect, these findings are hypothesis-generating and do not justify modifying radiotherapy target volumes based on SVZ involvement alone.
PURPOSE: Both MGMT promoter methylation and subventricular zone (SVZ) involvement influence glioblastoma prognosis. We investigated whether SVZ involvement modifies the prognostic impact of MGMT promoter methylation.
METHODS: We retrospectively analysed 117 adults with IDH-wildtype glioblastoma (CNS WHO 2021) treated with chemoradiotherapy (Stupp protocol) between 2019 and 2024. MGMT methylation was assessed by pyrosequencing (cut-off ≥10%). SVZ involvement was defined as overlap between the gross tumour volume and a 5-mm expansion from the lateral ventricular walls, including temporal horns. Overall (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were analysed using multivariable Cox models with an MGMT × SVZ interaction term and two sensitivity analyses.
RESULTS: SVZ involvement occurred in 45 patients (38%). Median PFS and OS were 11 and 15 months. Median OS was 32 months in MGMT-methylated/SVZ-negative vs 13 months in MGMT-methylated/SVZ-positive cases (pairwise log-rank p=0.001). On multivariable analysis, MGMT methylation remained protective (HR 0.50, p=0.008), whereas SVZ involvement lost independent significance (p=0.16). The MGMT × SVZ interaction was significant for OS (HR 2.62, 95% CI 1.12-5.40; p=0.020) but not PFS (p=0.42), persisting across sensitivity analyses. Recurrences were predominantly in-field (72.0-81.8%).
CONCLUSION: SVZ involvement attenuates the survival benefit conferred by MGMT methylation, supporting combined anatomical-molecular stratification. Given the cohort size and lack of PFS effect, these findings are hypothesis-generating and do not justify modifying radiotherapy target volumes based on SVZ involvement alone.