Federated neural nonparametric point processes

Temporal point processes (TPPs) are effective for modeling event occurrences over time but struggle with sparse and uncertain events in federated systems, where privacy is a major concern. To address this, we propose FedPP , a federated neural nonparametric point process model. FedPP integrates neural embeddings into sigmoidal Gaussian Cox processes (SGCPs) on the client side. SGCPs is a flexible and expressive class of TPPs, allowing FedPP to generate highly flexible intensity functions that capture client-specific event dynamics and uncertainties while efficiently summarizing historical records. For global aggregation, FedPP introduces a divergence-based mechanism to communicate the distributions of kernel hyperparameters in SGCPs between the server and clients, while keeping client-specific parameters local to ensure privacy and personalization. FedPP effectively captures event uncertainty and sparsity. Extensive experiments demonstrate its superior performance in federated settings, showing global aggregation with the KL divergence and the Wasserstein distance.