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◆ Accident; analysis and prevention2026-09-18

Modeling vehicle behavior in two-dimensional driving scenarios considering collision risk stimulus and real-time interaction.

Jinghua Wang, Guangquan Lu, Miaomiao Liu, Zhao Zhang, Ailing Yang, Junjie Zhang

原始摘要(英文原文)· Original abstract
As the microscopic foundation of traffic dynamics, driving interactions and behaviors are critical for understanding the operational mechanisms of traffic systems and enabling safe, human-like autonomous driving. However, most existing physics-based driving behavior models are suitable for specific scenarios, and data-driven models also suffer from heavy data reliance and poor interpretability. These limitations restrict models' applicability across diverse two-dimensional scenarios. To address these limitations, this study proposes a two-stage Two-dimensional Desired Safety Margin (TDSM) model that unifies path estimation and velocity adjustment to model interactive driving behaviors in generalized two-dimensional scenarios based on the driver's risk perception quantification. This model could capture drivers' behaviors in yielding, preempting, and hesitation phases, then iteratively predict vehicle trajectories. Using real-world vehicle interaction trajectories, a generalized set of model parameters is calibrated, enabling the simulation of diverse situations: straight/turning maneuvers, preemption/yielding interactions, and vehicle-to-vehicle/multi-vehicle dynamics. Results demonstrate that TDSM achieves higher generalizability in describing interactive driving behaviors, with accuracy consistently matching or surpassing existing scenario-specific driving behavior models. Validations across external scenarios (car-following and crossing situations) and drivers' internal factors (varying driving styles) further demonstrate its robustness. The proposed model provides a low-complexity, high-accuracy baseline for applications in driving safety analysis, microscopic traffic simulation, human-like autonomous driving control, and scenario generation for automated driving testing, offering the potential for traffic accident prevention and autonomous driving safety.
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Modeling vehicle behavior in two-dimensional driving scenarios considering collision risk stimulus and real-time interaction. — 科研速览 Science Skim