Jinhyun Kim
Investigating the impact of healthcare expenditure on health is crucial for optimizing public resource allocation. This can inform the value of expanding healthcare budgets and provide a benchmark for allocations within healthcare systems. However, empirical evidence remains mixed. The potential causes of mixed results-reverse causality and unobservable confounders-need to be addressed through robust empirical methods. This study assesses the South Korean public healthcare cost of producing one quality-adjusted life year (QALY) by using conversion factors-elements in the pricing formula of healthcare services determined by negotiations-as the instrument, with two-way fixed effects. Moreover, since morbidity significantly affects health, it is crucial to estimate the impact of healthcare expenditure on morbidity using credible data. We use a unique dataset of directly measured regional EQ-5D indices from 240 municipalities for the period 2008-2019, which is unavailable in other countries. We estimate that $12,847 of public healthcare expenditure is required to gain one QALY. Sensitivity analyses using alternative calculation methods, data, and models produce estimates ranging from $8850 to $17,674 per QALY. Our findings suggest that the healthcare cost of producing one QALY is substantially lower than the GDP per capita and the willingness-to-pay for health in South Korea.