科研速览 · Science Skim继续刷下去 · Keep skimming →
◆ Journal of Futures Markets2026-04-24· Economics

How Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Reshape Option Pricing?

Wenting Chen, Rixiang Fei, Nana Xu, Xin‐Jiang He

原始摘要(英文原文)· Original abstract
ABSTRACT Economic policy uncertainty (EPU) is a critical yet often neglected factor in derivatives pricing, leading to systematic biases in existing valuation frameworks. This study proposes an advanced pricing model that explicitly incorporates a stochastic EPU factor with a regime‐switching long‐term mean into the stochastic volatility framework. The principal theoretical contribution of this research is a closed‐form analytical pricing formula for European options, which successfully overcomes the challenges of multiple stochastic factors and achieves substantial computational advantages over traditional numerical methods such as the Monte‐Carlo simulation. A preliminary empirical study using SSE 50 ETF option data demonstrates the model's superior pricing performance compared to other benchmarks.
读原文 · Read the paper ↗

AI 追问PRO

登录后使用 AI 追问

讨论区

登录后参与讨论

相关论文 · Related

How Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Reshape Option Pricing? — 科研速览 Science Skim